Research

Research agenda

My work sits at the intersection of banking theory, credit regulation and macroprudential policy, with an empirical focus on emerging economies. Two questions organize it. The first is how credit regulation designed to protect borrowers reshapes the distribution of risk that banks are willing to price: when a ceiling prevents a lender from charging the rate that compensates a borrower's risk, that borrower does not get cheaper credit — they get no credit. The second is how the structure of the banking system, both the network of exposures between institutions and the market power of individual banks, mediates the pass-through of monetary policy to lending rates.

Methodologically I work at both ends: formalizing the mechanism, and taking it to administrative data. My training combines a mathematics minor (real and abstract analysis, dynamic optimization, measure theory) with applied econometrics and machine learning, and I read the regulatory environment as a lawyer as well as an economist.

Work in progress

MA thesis in economics, in preparation. Universidad de los Andes, expected 2028.

Applied research

Multimorbidity and health expenditure in El Salvador

World Bank–funded project (PHGF Grant TF0A8267) · Ministry of Health of El Salvador · 2021–2022

A study of chronic-disease multimorbidity across three hospital micronetworks (Apastepeque, La Palma, Jiquilisco), conducted for the Ministry of Health under a World Bank–funded non-communicable diseases project.

I was responsible for the full data pipeline and quantitative analysis: integrating three administrative health record systems covering population registries, outpatient consultations and hospital admissions; classifying 12,618 ICD-10 subcategories into 123 chronic condition groups; estimating disease clusters using two independent methods — structural equation models for conditional probabilities and K-means clustering — cross-validated across subsamples by sex, age group and region; applying network analysis to inter-facility referral flows to identify gaps in the care network; and estimating service costs for the priority clusters. Results informed the Ministry's recommendations on targeting health expenditure toward prevention.

The project report is not publicly available.